The summit is not held in a gleaming hall, but in a secure, dimly lit backroom—the architectural antithesis of Davos or the G7. The atmosphere is thick with mutual suspicion, but thicker still with a shared, desperate necessity. The Host, representing Russia, welcomes his guests. An ideologically-driven Iranian Theocrat, whose faith sees a Great Satan in the West. A stoic and desperate North Korean General, representing a kingdom of paranoia. A corrupt Venezuelan Boligarch, his personal fortune now indistinguishable from his state's treasury. A battle-hardened Syrian Officer, his uniform still carrying the faint scent of chlorine. And a transactional African Warlord, who pledges allegiance to whoever signs the largest check.
The Host does not speak of friendship, trust, or a shared vision for humanity. He speaks only of a shared enemy: the arrogant, hypocritical West and its suffocating financial and legal system. He is not selling a better world; he is offering the tools for survival and sabotage in this one: a veto at the UN, sanctions-busting expertise, off-the-books weapons, and plausible deniability.
The transaction begins. The North Korean offers a mountain of Soviet-era artillery shells in exchange for satellite technology and food. The Iranian offers a fleet of cheap, effective drones in exchange for advanced fighter jets and nuclear cooperation. The Venezuelan offers discounted oil and a strategic foothold in the Americas in exchange for cash and regime protection. The African Warlord offers the raw materials of the earth—gold, diamonds, uranium—in exchange for the guns and mercenaries needed to keep his people in line and his rivals at bay. It is a grim marketplace where instruments of war and national resources are bartered for the one commodity they all need: survival.
The meeting closes with a handshake. There is no warmth, only a cold, pragmatic understanding. They are not allies. They are a cartel of outcasts, a coalition of the sanctioned, a global axis bound together not by what they believe, but by whom they resent.
6.1 The Common Enemy
Russia has successfully constructed a global network of rogue and pariah states, not as traditional ideological allies, but as a transactional ecosystem of mutual survival and disruption. This "Axis of Resentment" functions to systematically undermine the international order, provide Russia with the material and strategic means to wage war, and allow it to project global power at a low cost. The central binding agent of this new axis is not a shared ideology like Communism, but a shared, fervent opposition to the United States and the Western-led "rules-based order." [CITATION 1] It is a coalition built on a shared desire to dismantle the current global system.
6.2 A Transactional, Not Ideological, Axis
Unlike past alliances, this network is defined by pure utility—a flowchart of needs and provisions. It is a marketplace where drones, shells, diplomatic vetoes, and oil are traded to ensure the survival and enrichment of all participating regimes. The United States' intelligence community has formally identified this growing cooperation between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, noting that it is driven by a shared perception of threat from the West and a desire to "challenge the existing rules-based global order." [CITATION 3]
6.3 The Division of Labor
This axis has a clear division of labor, which will be detailed in subsequent chapters:
The Senior Partner (China): Providing the economic and diplomatic foundation that allows Russia to survive Western sanctions, a relationship defined as having "no limits." [CITATION 2]
The Arsenals (Iran, North Korea): The direct military suppliers whose artillery shells and drones are indispensable to Russia's war effort in Ukraine.
The Proxies & Platforms (Syria, Africa Corps): The providers of military basing, deniable manpower, and opportunities for resource extraction.
The Spoilers (Venezuela, Cuba): The strategic distractions that create low-cost threats in America's backyard, diverting U.S. attention and resources.
6.4 A Symbiotic System of Survival
This system benefits all parties in a symbiotic loop. Russia provides a security and diplomatic umbrella that allows these regimes to survive international sanctions and isolation. In return, they provide Russia with the material and strategic depth it needs to sustain its own confrontation with the West. Analysts have identified this as a new "axis of evasion," where these states are collectively developing tools—from sanctions-busting financial systems to shared military technology—to operate outside of and in defiance of Western-led institutions. [CITATION 4] This creates not a collection of isolated problems for Western foreign policy, but a single, interconnected, and highly resilient strategic threat.
6.1 The Common Enemy
Russia has successfully constructed a global network of rogue and pariah states, not as traditional ideological allies, but as a transactional ecosystem of mutual survival and disruption. This "Axis of Resentment" functions to systematically undermine the international order, provide Russia with the material and strategic means to wage war, and allow it to project global power at a low cost. The central binding agent of this new axis is not a shared ideology like Communism, but a shared, fervent opposition to the United States and the Western-led "rules-based order." [CITATION 1] It is a coalition built on a shared desire to dismantle the current global system.
6.2 A Transactional, Not Ideological, Axis
Unlike past alliances, this network is defined by pure utility—a flowchart of needs and provisions. It is a marketplace where drones, shells, diplomatic vetoes, and oil are traded to ensure the survival and enrichment of all participating regimes. The United States' intelligence community has formally identified this growing cooperation between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, noting that it is driven by a shared perception of threat from the West and a desire to "challenge the existing rules-based global order." [CITATION 2]
6.3 The Division of Labor
This axis has a clear division of labor, which will be detailed in subsequent chapters:
The Senior Partner (China): Providing the economic and diplomatic foundation that allows Russia to survive Western sanctions, a relationship defined as having "no limits." [CITATION 3]
The Arsenals (Iran, North Korea): The direct military suppliers whose artillery shells and drones are indispensable to Russia's war effort in Ukraine.
The Proxies & Platforms (Syria, Africa Corps): The providers of military basing, deniable manpower, and opportunities for resource extraction.
The Spoilers (Venezuela, Cuba): The strategic distractions that create low-cost threats in America's backyard, diverting U.S. attention and resources.
6.4 A Symbiotic System of Survival
This system benefits all parties in a symbiotic loop. Russia provides a security and diplomatic umbrella that allows these regimes to survive international sanctions and isolation. In return, they provide Russia with the material and strategic depth it needs to sustain its own confrontation with the West. Analysts have identified this as a new "axis of evasion," where these states are collectively developing tools—from sanctions-busting financial systems to shared military technology—to operate outside of and in defiance of Western-led institutions. [CITATION 4] This creates not a collection of isolated problems for Western foreign policy, but a single, interconnected, and highly resilient strategic threat.
Kendall-Taylor, Andrea, and David Shullman. "The Russia-China Partnership: A Challenge to the World Order." Center for a New American Security (CNAS), Commentary, April 6, 2021. https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/the-russia-china-partnership-a-challenge-to-the-world-order
The Director of National Intelligence. "Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community." Office of the Director of National Intelligence, February 2024. https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/2024-Annual-Threat-Assessment.pdf
United States Department of Defense. "Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People's Republic of China 2024." https://media.defense.gov/2024/Oct/19/2003552932/-1/-1/1/2024-MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA.PDF
Stronski, Paul, and Richard Sokolsky. "The New Axis of Evasion: How Russia, Iran, and North Korea are Remaking the World." Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Essay, October 11, 2023. https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/10/11/new-axis-of-evasion-how-russia-iran-and-north-korea-are-remaking-world-pub-90740